FACTORS DETERMINING THE APPOINTMENT AND TENURE OF ADVISERS TO THE PRESIDENT OF UKRAINE
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.1234/2786-9202/3.1-30-47Keywords:
internal and external advisors, President, appointment, candidateAbstract
The article analyses the internal and external advisors of the Presidents of Ukraine from 1991 to 2025 and identifies the factors that influence the appointment of candidates to the position of advisor. In Ukrainian discourse, the topic of advisors is under-researched; specifically, scientific articles do not thoroughly examine the specifics of appointing particular candidates. The effectiveness of state governance depends on the president’s decisions, and although the details of an advisor’s activities are not publicly known, it is essential that the president is advised by experts. Regression analysis was employed in the study, specifically multiple linear regression and binary logistic regression. It was found that freelance advisors are more likely to remain in office longer than full-time advisors. The analysis revealed the following factors that influence the length of time an advisor remains in office: full-time/freelance status, previous cooperation with the president, and electoral experience. Personal connections, characterised by prior cooperation, tend to prolong the period of tenure. Experience with electoral candidacy or the possibility of being elected shortens the advisor’s tenure. Advisors are appointed based more on their loyalty to the candidate than on their competence. The president tends to prefer a loyal candidate who will support his policies. This study reveals the importance of analysing individuals who influence the formation of domestic and foreign policy decisions.
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References
Arana, I. 2023. inner circle of presidents. Estudios Internacionales. . Vol. 55, no. 206. P. 81–109. URL: https://doi.org/10.5354/0719-3769.2023.73188.
Blomdahl, M. 2020. The national security advisor and the secretary of state in the Obama administration: Thomas D., Hillary C.. American Studies, 65, 65–68. URL: https://www.jstor.org/stable/45390356.
Brown, C. 2018. Advising the president: rules governing access and accountability of presidential advisors. Congressional Research Service, 2(2), 4–9. URL: https://sgp.fas.org/crs/misc/LSB10183.pdf.
Conley, R. 2002. The power of the American presidency. American Political Science Review, 96(1), 206–207. https://doi.org/10.1017/s0003055402274328 .
Evans, K., Matthews, K. 2024. Public advocates, private advisors: the autonomy, function, and influence of the President's Council of Advisors on Science and Technology. Frontiers in Research Metrics and Analytics, 9. https://doi.org/10.3389/frma.2024.1455510.
Evans, K. 2000Explaining increasing turnover rates among presidential advisers, 1929–1997.The Journal of Politics, 64(2), 434–448. URL: https://www.jstor.org/stable/2691855.
Field, R., Janis, I. 1990. Crucial decisions: leadership in policy-making and crisis management. The Academy of Management Review, 15(3), 542. https://doi.org/10.2307/258025.
Howell, W. 2010. The politics of presidential appointments: political control and bureaucratic performance by David E. Political Science Quarterly, 125(1), 181–183. https://doi.org/10.1002/j.1538-165x.2010.tb02004.x.
Ignacio, A. 2012. Who whispers to the president? Advisors vs. ministers in Latin America. Política, 50(2), 45–54. URL: https://www.redalyc.org/pdf/645/Resumenes/Abstract_64524974002_2.pdf.
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Waterman, R., Ouyang, Y. 2020. Rethinking loyalty and competence in presidential appointments. Public Administration Review, 80(5), 717–732. https://doi.org/10.1111/puar.13212.
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